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美元指數:利率決議在即,牛熊誰能勝出?

今日Ultima Markets 為您帶來了 2026年6月17日的USDX深入分析

USDX 技術分析

USDX 日線圖表分析

（USDX 日線圖，來源Ultima Markets MT5）

  • 線圖在一個轉折點,交易者應密切觀察98.890至99.000支撐區表現。
  • 關鍵點位:在支撐方面,買盤可能首先在98.890至99.075附近出現,這是一個由中期與長期移動平均線匯聚形成的關鍵區域,心理關口99.000恰好居中,目前價格正在測試這帶;若失守,則下一階於97.410至97.595,即5月中旬的波段低點,跌至此地意味著更深一輪的回調;最後則是96.670至96.855,即2月份創下的絕對低點,若價格回落至此,任何看多格局告失效。在阻力方面,賣盤壓力可能首先在99.445浮現,該處短期移動平均線正向下彎曲,很可能壓制短期反彈;其次是100.185,即6月初創下的波段高點,多頭需突破才能重新掌控趨勢;最終則是100.370,即3月底創下的絕對高點,若出現向上突破,這將是多頭的終極目標。

USDX 2小時圖表分析

（USDX 2小時圖，來源Ultima Markets MT5）

  • 從這個週期來看,賣壓蓋頂,除非買盤能將價格推升至99.340上方,否則下行仍是阻力最小的方向。請密切留意99.140支撐底線,一旦失守,為後續跌勢開啟空間。
  • 突破情境:若2小時K線果斷收低99.140,觸發看跌延續情境,並釋放新一輪賣壓,可能帶動指數快速下探至99.000心理關口;而看漲反彈(均值回歸)情境則需要多頭先突破99.340的移動平均線匯聚區上,進而引發空頭回補的反彈行情,目標看向99.490黑色移動平均線,然而在下一個阻力位被收服前,上漲走勢都應視為逆勢反彈。

USDX 樞紐線指標

（USDX 30分鐘圖，來源Ultima Markets MT5）

  • 觀察隨機指標細膩的訊號,已脫離超賣,處於中值(約50至55),%K與%D兩條線皆呈上,顯示短期略有看漲動能。然而,價格並未跟進動能上揚(出現背離),表示市場走勢偏弱,空頭正在吸收買盤力道。
  • 看空突破:若價格跌落99.230即時支撐,賣方重拾局面。30分鐘K線收低99.170,此舉可能引發快速下探至99.000心理關口的走勢。
  • 看多反彈:若要進行看漲的逆勢交易,價格需先突破目前的盤整區間,收於99.330附近的黑色移動平均線之上會是首務,並可能快速上探99.410這一主要阻力位;不過,由於此方向與主導動能相反,任何多頭部位都伴隨較高風險。

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