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美元指数:利率决议在即,牛熊谁能胜出?

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2026年6月17日的USDX深入分析

USDX 技术分析

USDX 日线图表分析

（USDX 日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT5）

  • 线图在一个转折点,交易者应密切观察98.890至99.000支撑区表现。
  • 关键点位:在支撑方面,买盘可能首先在98.890至99.075附近出现,这是一个由中期与长期移动平均线汇聚形成的关键区域,心理关口99.000恰好居中,目前价格正在测试这带;若失守,则下一阶于97.410至97.595,即5月中旬的波段低点,跌至此地意味着更深一轮的回调;最后则是96.670至96.855,即2月份创下的绝对低点,若价格回落至此,任何看多格局告失效。在阻力方面,卖盘压力可能首先在99.445浮现,该处短期移动平均线正向下弯曲,很可能压制短期反弹;其次是100.185,即6月初创下的波段高点,多头需突破才能重新掌控趋势;最终则是100.370,即3月底创下的绝对高点,若出现向上突破,这将是多头的终极目标。

USDX 2小时图表分析

（USDX 2小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT5）

  • 从这个周期来看,卖压盖顶,除非买盘能将价格推升至99.340上方,否则下行仍是阻力最小的方向。请密切留意99.140支撑底线,一旦失守,为后续跌势开启空间。
  • 突破情境:若2小时K线果断收低99.140,触发看跌延续情境,并释放新一轮卖压,可能带动指数快速下探至99.000心理关口;而看涨反弹(均值回归)情境则需要多头先突破99.340的移动平均线汇聚区上,进而引发空头回补的反弹行情,目标看向99.490黑色移动平均线,然而在下一个阻力位被收服前,上涨走势都应视为逆势反弹。

USDX 枢纽线指标

（USDX 30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets MT5）

  • 观察随机指标细腻的讯号,已脱离超卖,处于中值(约50至55),%K与%D两条线皆呈上,显示短期略有看涨动能。然而,价格并未跟进动能上扬(出现背离),表示市场走势偏弱,空头正在吸收买盘力道。
  • 看空突破:若价格跌落99.230实时支撑,卖方重拾局面。30分钟K线收低99.170,此举可能引发快速下探至99.000心理关口的走势。
  • 看多反弹:若要进行看涨的逆势交易,价格需先突破目前的盘整区间,收于99.330附近的黑色移动平均线之上会是首务,并可能快速上探99.410这一主要阻力位;不过,由于此方向与主导动能相反,任何多头部位都伴随较高风险。

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